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.shanghai

HIGH contention·2 named candidates·P(auction) = 49%

Likely public auction. Budget contention reserve; validate peer intent.

2
Named candidates
1.40
ΣP (expected filers)
49%
P(public auction)
70%
Lead candidate P

Named candidates

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Methodology note

Named candidates represent public-signal-based estimates, not confirmed filings. Probabilities are Poisson-binomial derived with independence assumption — real correlations exist but are small in expectation. Applications are only confirmed at ICANN's August 12, 2026 submission deadline. Full methodology.