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MEDIUM contention·2 named candidates·P(auction) = 33%
Possible contention. Monitor competitor filings; consider string variants.
2
Named candidates
1.22
ΣP (expected filers)
33%
P(public auction)
82%
Lead candidate P
Named candidates
Preview — showing top 2 of 2. Unlock the full list below.
- FlowCAC / crypto82%P(file)
- Dapper LabsCAC / crypto40%P(file)
Methodology note
Named candidates represent public-signal-based estimates, not confirmed filings. Probabilities are Poisson-binomial derived with independence assumption — real correlations exist but are small in expectation. Applications are only confirmed at ICANN's August 12, 2026 submission deadline. Full methodology.